Jobless claims on the rise, but remain near historic lows

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Applications for U.S. state unemployment benefits rose last week, though remained near historic lows, as the labor market withstood the recent surge in COVID-19 cases.

Initial unemployment claims totaled 207,000 in the week ended Jan. 1, up 7,000 from the prior period, Labor Department data showed. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for 195,000 applications. Continuing claims for state benefits rose to 1.75 million in the week ended Dec. 25.

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While claims rose, they’ve hovered near a five-decade low in recent weeks as companies hold on to existing staff amid widespread worker shortages and resignations. Still, the spread of the omicron variant has reignited fears for the economy amid school and business closures.

The government’s monthly employment report, which is due Jan. 7, is currently expected to show the U.S. added 433,000 jobs in December as the labor market recovery continued. A report from ADP Research Institute showed U.S. companies in December added the most jobs in seven months.

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While difficulties adjusting for seasonal effects during the holidays have made claims figures in recent weeks hard to interpret, the data — which has steadied around pre-pandemic levels — reflect a tight labor market. On an unadjusted basis, claims rose by nearly 58,000 to 315,469.

Bloomberg News
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